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Another Round of Rain This Week?

Greater chances of showers on the way.

After just a couple of days of drying out from the rain we had last week, the chances for precipitation will begin to return by the start of the week. 

And when I say drying out... that's only if you're lucky (or unlucky?). There is still rain around, just a little more scattered to isolated today than it has been over the last five days or so (take a look at this satellite image). But beginning Tuesday, the models show a weak trough forming over our area which will bring us a greater chance of showers through the rest of the work week. 

How much rain did you get this last week? Hopefully, if you missed out on the greater rain totals, you'll get what you missed this week. 

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North Georgia Weather July 18, 2012 at 03:20 PM
In less than an hour my temperature will be over 90 degrees and already have a dew point of 75 degrees. Lot's of moisture and heat to fire off these storms this afternoon.
North Georgia Weather July 18, 2012 at 08:35 PM
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DIME SIZED HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS IN DEKALB AND GWINNETT COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM EDT... AT 430 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER NORCROSS THE THUNDERSTORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DIME SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS IT MOVES ACROSS DEKALB AND GWINNETT COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE NORCROSS...MECHANICSVILLE...LILBURN... MOUNTAIN PARK...PLEASANT HILL AND LAWRENCEVILLE. HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.
North Georgia Weather July 18, 2012 at 08:48 PM
447 PM EDT WED JUL 18 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL DEKALB COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA SOUTHERN GWINNETT COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA * UNTIL 530 PM EDT * AT 444 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZED HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DULUTH... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LILBURN...LAWRENCEVILLE...DACULA...SNELLVILLE AND GRAYSON.
North Georgia Weather July 18, 2012 at 08:52 PM
The cell just southwest of Lawrenceville is 50 thousand feet high. http://www.daculaweather.com/images/2012_07/et_1.png
North Georgia Weather July 18, 2012 at 09:07 PM
505 PM EDT WED JUL 18 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DIME SIZED HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS IN WALTON...OCONEE AND BARROW COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM EDT... AT 503 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER GRATIS...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DIME SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS IT MOVES ACROSS WALTON...OCONEE AND BARROW COUNTIES THROUGH 545 PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE NICHOLASVILLE...GRATIS... CAMPTON...FORT YARGO STATE PARK...WINDER...RUSSELL...BETHLEHEM... MOUNT VERNON AND STATHAM. HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.
North Georgia Weather July 18, 2012 at 09:20 PM
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 518 PM EDT WED JUL 18 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTH CENTRAL BARROW COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA NORTHEASTERN WALTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA NORTHWESTERN OCONEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA * UNTIL 600 PM EDT
Kristi Reed (Editor) July 18, 2012 at 09:24 PM
I just got just over 3/4" about an hour ago. It isn't raining at all now though.
David July 18, 2012 at 10:43 PM
You must live in another part of HM. Nothing at all near the golf course club house.
North Georgia Weather July 18, 2012 at 11:28 PM
Take a look at this image. It's the radar estimated rainfall totals over the last day and a half. I messed with the opacity so you could see the map below but you'll notice that some areas of Hamilton Mill got a lot more rain than others. http://www.daculaweather.com/images/2012_07/srt_1_fade.png
Kristi Reed (Editor) July 18, 2012 at 11:44 PM
Actually I am very close (in Millwater). It poured here for a while.
North Georgia Weather July 18, 2012 at 11:46 PM
0.35" here and still raining.
North Georgia Weather July 19, 2012 at 12:07 AM
Last three hour radar estimated rainfall http://www.daculaweather.com/images/2012_07/ohp_1.png
North Georgia Weather July 19, 2012 at 11:23 AM
Well, are we enjoying the rain yet? I hope so because the rain train is still rolling with no end in sight until the middle of next week, and then not for long! We're starting off with increased cloud cover this morning which will help to keep the afternoon temperatures down a little bit. But our precipitable water values are in the 1.9" range which is more moist than it was yesterday morning. Here's an excerpt from the Forecast Discussion with some good advice at the end: THE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE SUGGESTS OUR MAIN THREAT WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN... RESULTING IN A LOCALIZED FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL FROM SLOW MOVING STORMS. HOWEVER... CAPE VALUES ALSO INDICATE ISOLATED PULSE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE... WITH DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. ANY HAIL THREAT SHOULD BE SMALL...GENERALLY IN THE PEA TO DIME SIZE... WITH FREEZING LEVELS AT OR ABOVE 15K FT. AS ALWAYS... EXPECT FREQUENT LIGHTNING IN AND AROUND STORMS... SO REMEMBER... WHEN THUNDER ROARS... GO INDOORS! Note the freezing level and remember some of the storms yesterday and the day before reached 50K feet in height, and you see why hail can be an issue.
North Georgia Weather July 19, 2012 at 03:52 PM
The Southeast had its 20th coolest June on record.
Gail Lane July 19, 2012 at 04:11 PM
How do we reconcile global warming with the coolest June?? :)
DaculaHood July 19, 2012 at 04:16 PM
Global warming is a myth conjured by Al Gore after he created the internets?
Brian Crawford July 19, 2012 at 04:30 PM
"The average temperature for the contiguous U.S. during June was 71.2°F, which is 2.0°F above the 20th century average. The June temperatures contributed to a record-warm first half of the year and the warmest 12-month period the nation has experienced since record keeping began in 1895. Scorching temperatures during the second half of the month led many cities to set all-time temperature records." - NOAA "The January-June period was the warmest first half of any year on record for the contiguous United States. The national temperature of 52.9°F was 4.5°F above average." - NOAA "Record-breaking temperatures occurred across a large portion of the nation during the second half of June. Over 170 all-time warm temperature records were broken or tied during the month. Temperatures in South Carolina (113°F) and Georgia (112°F) are currently under review by the U.S. State Climate Extremes Committee as possible all-time statewide temperature records." - NOAA
StormyHeather July 19, 2012 at 04:36 PM
I will take these afternoon thunderstorms any day. I remember when we were in our years of horrible drought and we did not get these showers. Makes the yard maintenance a little trickier, but water is a necessary thing for humans.
Sharon Swanepoel July 19, 2012 at 05:34 PM
I love your name StormyHeather. :)
North Georgia Weather July 20, 2012 at 10:06 AM
I just uploaded two images showing the status of the corn and soybean crops in the 3 largest producing states, it's not pretty. http://www.daculaweather.com/images/2012_07/corn.jpg http://www.daculaweather.com/images/2012_07/soybean.jpg
North Georgia Weather July 20, 2012 at 10:08 AM
This should go under my Climate Summary post. And yes, we have gotten warmer. But not for the reasons Gore wants you to believe.
North Georgia Weather July 20, 2012 at 11:11 AM
Looks like we're going to have a very rainy Friday morning. Remnants of an old MCS that had been over TN/KY last night are moving SE into our area this morning. The main area is just now moving into NW Georgia but other showers and thundershowers are breaking out ahead of it as it pushes our way.
North Georgia Weather July 20, 2012 at 11:13 AM
Here's what it looks like currently at 7:13 am http://www.daculaweather.com/images/2012_07/morning_20.png
North Georgia Weather July 20, 2012 at 11:31 AM
The SPC has outlined our area in a Slight Risk category for severe weather today. http://www.daculaweather.com/4_spc_day1_outlook.php And from the Atlanta office of the NWS: THE GREATER THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL OCCUR DURING AFTERNOON HEATING AS AN ACTIVE UPPER TROUGH INTERACTS WITH A MOIST (NEAR 2 INCH PW`S) AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS (1500-2500 J/KG CAPE) TO PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THIS MORNING`S MCS SHOULD HELP PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT... AND THIS SHOULD OCCUR MAINLY OVER NORTH GA WHERE BOUNDARIES SHOULD BE LINGERING. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM A STRENGTHENING SW MID LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO TN TODAY COULD AID IN STRONG TO SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT... ESPECIALLY IF ENHANCED BY WEAK DISTURBANCES TRAVERSING THE UPPER TROUGH TODAY.
North Georgia Weather July 20, 2012 at 03:08 PM
This mornings rain has pretty much dissipated before arriving here.
Sharon Swanepoel July 20, 2012 at 03:11 PM
Steve, are we still at risk for afternoon storm activity?
North Georgia Weather July 20, 2012 at 04:56 PM
Lastest from NWS FFC: NONE OF THE HIRES MODELS HAD THE MCS REMNANTS LASTING SO LONG THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS ARE PRETTY STABLE ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA RIGHT NOW WITH CAPES BELOW 500 IN THE RAIN-COOLED AIRMASS. HOWEVER...BEHIND THE CIRRUS SHIELD... TEMPS ARE ALREADY STARTING TO INCREASE AND AT AFD TIME AM STARTING TO SEE CONVECTION FIRE NEAR CHA. THINK THAT IN THE END THE INSTABILITY WILL CATCH UP. 12Z KFFC MODIFIED SOUNDING WITH LOWER 70S DEWPOINTS AND A HIGH IN THE UPPER 80S GIVES OVER 3000 J/KG SBCAPE SO AT THIS POINT STILL EXPECT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP WITH SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE. POPS MAY ACTUALLY NEED TO BE INCREASED INTO THE AFTERNOON ONCE WE GET A HANDLE ON LOCATION AND MOVEMENT.
North Georgia Weather July 21, 2012 at 11:51 AM
Well... yesterday WASN'T the day that the NWS or the computer models had called for. I didn't get any rain until evening and then only 0.22". don't get me wrong, I'm not complaining, I was just being greedy and hoping for more. Today should be different as we have a cold front that's forecast to sag into our area from the north, and that will provide the focus for afternoon and evening thundershowers. Once again this morning, the morning satellite images ( http://www.daculaweather.com/4_sat_se_us_z.php ) show us covered by a low cloud deck with showers around the area and those clouds and showers are helping to keep the temperatures nice and cool... but not what we need for heavy rainfall. People to our south will have more breaks in the clouds and those areas can expect to see the bigger thunderstorms as well as the possibility of a few of the storms becoming severe.
North Georgia Weather July 21, 2012 at 01:26 PM
920 AM EDT SAT JUL 21 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING IN WILKES...WALTON...TALIAFERRO...OGLETHORPE... OCONEE...NEWTON...MORGAN. ..GREENE AND JASPER COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 AM EDT... AT 915 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM NEWTOWN TO STARRSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES ACROSS WILKES...WALTON...TALIAFERRO...OGLETHORPE...OCONEE...NEWTON... MORGAN...GREENE AND JASPER COUNTIES...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND REESE... CELESTE...NEWTOWN...RAYLE...WASHINGTON...CARTERS GROVE...PENFIELD... GRESHAMVILLE...WOODVILLE...PHILOMATH...MADISON...STEWART...NEWBORN... MANSFIELD AND BUCKHEAD. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE SUBJECT TO MINOR FLOODING.
North Georgia Weather July 21, 2012 at 02:19 PM
1015 AM EDT SAT JUL 21 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN IN WALTON...NEWTON...MORGAN AND JASPER COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 AM EDT... AT 1011 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTERDALE TO FARRAR...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES ACROSS WALTON...NEWTON...MORGAN AND JASPER COUNTIES...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND FARRAR...STARRSVILLE...PORTERDALE...NEWBORN...MANSFIELD... COVINGTON...REESE...BRICK STORE...OXFORD...REESE...RUTLEDGE... MADISON...HARD LABOR CREEK STATE PARK...APALACHEE AND BOSTWICK. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE SUBJECT TO MINOR FLOODING.

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